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Researchers plotted temperature rises against the number of asylum applications and are predicting that as the southern hemisphere heats up the number of people migrating to the EU each year will triple
Climate change will drive a huge increase in the number of migrants seeking asylum in Europe if current trends continue, according to a new study.
The number of migrants attempting to settle in Europe each year will triple by the end of the century based on current climate trends alone, independent of other political and economic factors, according to the research. Even if efforts to curb global warming are successful, the number of applications for asylum could rise by a quarter, the authors predict.
Continue reading...My friend and colleague, Keith Briffa, who has died aged 64, was a climate scientist whose influential work helped drive the international acceptance of global warming as being due to human agency.
His scientific investigations ranged widely but his most influential and sustained contributions lay in decoding the complex climatic signals encrypted by annual tree rings and thereby positioning the science of dendro-climatology on rigorously tested foundations.
Continue reading...Adam Bandt says analysis of emissions targets for electricity sector ‘shows the cost of caving in to the climate deniers’
The Turnbull government’s proposed emissions targets for the electricity sector would mean every car would need to be taken off the roads immediately, or every cow would need to be taken off farms from next year, for Australia to reach the targets it committed to as part of the Paris agreement, according to analysis conducted by the Greens.
While neither measure is a plausible course of action, the Greens say it reveals the significance of the gap left by the weak ambition of the government’s plans for the national energy guarantee.
Related: Australia's greenhouse gas emissions highest on record
Related: Weak energy target threatens 27GW of renewable projects
Continue reading...The 2020 renewables target is already set to be exceeded by projects now under construction
Weak targets suggested for the proposed national energy guarantee will threaten a massive 27 gigawatts of renewable energy projects proposed for development across Australia.
Were they to go ahead, these projects would produce as much capacity as 17 Hazelwood power stations and mean half of Australia’s electricity was supplied by renewables.
Related: Energy ministers urged to avoid 'unacceptable' emissions reduction target
Related: What is the national energy guarantee and is it really a game changer?
Continue reading...What you see is not what others see. We inhabit parallel worlds of perception, bounded by our interests and experience. What is obvious to some is invisible to others. I might find myself standing, transfixed, by the roadside, watching a sparrowhawk hunting among the bushes, astonished that other people could ignore it. But they might just as well be wondering how I could have failed to notice the new V6 Pentastar Sahara that just drove past.
As the psychologist Richard Wiseman points out: “At any one moment, your eyes and brain only have the processing power to look at a very small part of your surroundings … your brain quickly identifies what it considers to be the most significant aspects of your surroundings, and focuses almost all of its attention on these elements.” Everything else remains unseen.
Related: Mass starvation is humanity’s fate if we keep flogging the land to death | George Monbiot
Continue reading...Heavily polluting power plants across China will now have to choose between paying for their emissions or cleaning up their act
The world’s biggest emitter of greenhouse gases, China, has launched the world’s biggest ever mechanism to reduce carbon, in the form of an emissions trading system.
China’s top governmental bodies on Tuesday gave their approval to plans for a carbon trading system that will initially cover the country’s heavily polluting power generation plants, then expand to take in most of the economy.
Continue reading...The Trump administration has dropped climate change from a list of global threats in a new national security strategy the president unveiled on Monday.
Related: Trump says he is not planning to fire Mueller as Republican attacks increase
Related: CDC banned words include 'diversity', 'transgender' and 'fetus' – report
Continue reading...BHP notes Minerals Council of Australia favours energy reliability and affordability over emissions goals
Australia’s biggest miner, BHP, has put the Minerals Council of Australia on notice, threatening to cancel its almost $2m yearly membership if it does not cease campaigning on climate and energy issues.
The warning came in BHP’s review of industry associations, in which it lists the ways BHP’s position differs from that of the MCA. BHP also considers its membership of 20 other industry bodies, declaring it will cancel its membership of the World Coal Association.
Related: BHP agrees to rethink its links to Minerals Council of Australia
Related: BHP opposes Minerals Council of Australia's war on activist rights
We will continue to call out material differences where they exist
Continue reading...Turnbull government will also allow use of international carbon permits and roll over emissions reduction fund
The Turnbull government will allow the use of international carbon permits, roll over its emissions reduction fund and loosen the current safeguard mechanism that sets limits on pollution as part of a review of climate policy released on the same day as a ministerial reshuffle.
The late-year release of the climate policy review, which points to allowing Australian businesses to increase their emissions as their production grows, comes as new figures confirm Australia’s annual greenhouse gas emissions are the highest on record when emissions from land use change are excluded, as well as projections suggesting the country will increase its emissions all the way to 2030 and beyond.
Related: Power prices forecast to fall over next two years but AEMC warns they won't last
Continue reading...The years 2017, 2016 and 2015 will make up the three hottest years on record for the planet. But there’s no convincing some people
When the global temperature readings are in for 2017, it’s going to be a very hard sell for climate-science deniers: 2017 will likely be ranked either side of 2015 as the second or third hottest year on record, with 2016 still in top spot.
The hottest five-year period recorded in the modern era will be the one we’ve just had.
Related: Australia's greenhouse gas emissions highest on record
Related: Scientists have beaten down the best climate denial argument | Dana Nuccitelli
Related: Environmental crusaders risk their lives to save Philippine paradise
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